Top 3 Growth Stocks for 2010 (WCRX, POT, FSLR)
Will 2010 be a hot year for Growth Stocks? Whenever the economy recovers, I expect a huge move in Growth Stocks. Even if the economy doesn’t recover, the following 3 Growth stocks should stay healthy and even provide a decent return in 2010. My picks are: Warner Chilcott Plc (NASDAQ:WCRX), Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (NYSE:POT) and First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR).
Warner Chilcott (WCRX)
NFY (Next Fiscal Year) Revenue Growth: 132.14%
Warner Chilcott has some amazing growth prospects, and looks to be severely undervalued. In the last twelve months the company reported revenues of $992.09M, add 132% to that and the company will be doing over $2B in 2010. Another aspect that I like about WCRX is this profit margins – the profit margin is 41.2% and operating margin is 30.52%.
The company’s largest contributor to sales in 2010 is expected to be that of its Loestrin 24 FE drug, which is designed to prevent pregnancy in women. Revenues from the drug are expected to increase at a CAGR of 59%, from $44 million in 2006 to $284 million in 2010.
Potash Corp/Saskatchewan (POT)
NFY (Next Fiscal Year) Revenue Growth: 64.86%
Keep an eye on Potash prices before jumping into this one - A ton of the fertilizer in China, the largest buyer and lowest-cost importer of potash, is expected to drop in price to $300 from $400 a few weeks ago, Soleil Securities analyst Mark Gulley wrote in a client note.
However, there are a lot of different views on where Potash prices could be in the next year.
Patricia Mohr, vice-president of Scotia Economics, said the average price for potash will likely be lower in 2010 than in 2009.
"For 2010, my own price forecast is an average of $375 US per ton and that assumes prices go back up to $400 in late 2010," Mohr said in a recent interview.
The economist's figures indicate the average price for a ton of potash in 2009 was around $614, a 4.5 per cent drop from 2008's average of $643.
Mohr also said: "I think the prices will start to firm up again possibly by the spring, but probably more likely in the second-half of 2010, and when you get to 2011 you should be in quite a firm market again for potash," she said.
Bottom line: keep an eye on Potash Corp/Saskatchewan (POT) and Potash prices and news in 2010. Soleil’s downgrade last week as sent shares of POT tumbling, so look for a good price to pick up shares. Shares of Potash are a steal anywhere south of $80.
First Solar (FSLR)
NFY (Next Fiscal Year) Revenue Growth: 32.78%
I have nothing new to add to the Solar Energy argument. However, I will say that FSLR is a well run company and Wall Street expects Revenue to grow 32.78% in 2010. That’s pretty big for a company that already generates $1.86B on an annual basis. Just looks at the fundamentals on FSLR, Profit Margins are generous, Revenue and Earnings are growing like nobody’s business. First Solar is the kingpin and best of breed of Solar Stocks. This week they released news of a major capacity expansion. With such a strong financial profile, it's no surprise that First Solar is comfortable expanding its current capacity by nearly 50%.
Note: All Revenue Growth Projections from Scottrade
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POT
Submitted by John_Drexler on Tue, 12/22/2009 - 16:36.I agree that POT is heading down..
China is expected to sign agreement around US$300-350 per ton for 2010, which is way-way-way lower than contracts during previous years around US$1200-$800 per ton...
Plus, number of new players have entered into market - like Uzbekistan, Belarus who are producing much more quantity than Saskatchewan Canada and are "right next door" to china. For example, Uzbekistan has direct train connection to China and is bordering china..
No wonder Saskatchewan has cut its revenue estimates to less than 1/3rd and is firing employees, closing its units, so called "temporarily". It has HUGE supply of potash that they do not know what to do with..
I totally agree with Soleil Securities that its target price is around $83-84, absolutly not more than this !!
Investors of POT lost HUGE 6 months ago, when stock corrected itself from $123 to $85, and now investors are going to see that again as stock has started to correct itself and is heading for $85 range.
Potash Corp/Saskatchewan (POT)
Submitted by Mark_Colen on Tue, 12/22/2009 - 15:29.Chinese contract for 2010 for Potash is way-way lower compared to previous years, and Uzbekistan/ Belarus - several new producers are now entering in market.. Plus, they have huge pending inventory of Potash which they can not sell..
I think its target price should be around $86-87.
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